Rise in absentee ballots
The notable increase in absentee ballots for the upcoming election is generating discussions about its implications for both candidates. As states continue to adapt to changing voting preferences, the trend of absentee voting could influence voter turnout and engagement in ways that may affect both parties.
In the 2020 presidential election, absentee ballots played a pivotal role, with over 80 million Americans casting their votes by mail. This trend appears to be continuing, as many voters cite convenience and safety as primary reasons for opting for absentee ballots. For candidates, this accessibility could translate into increased voter participation, impacting the overall electoral outcome.
Recent surveys indicate that younger voters, a demographic that often leans Democratic, are increasingly choosing absentee ballots. If this trend holds, it may favor the Democratic candidate, who could benefit from the enthusiasm of younger voters. On the other hand, historical data suggests that turnout rates among older voters—who tend to lean Republican—may increase with the convenience of absentee ballots.
NPR, Brennan Center for Justice, The New York Times, The Washington Post, University of California, Berkeley, University of Florida.